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Potential Storm for the East Wed...

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  • Potential Storm for the East Wed...

    Highlighting in red is mine..At least it will help the non-existent base


    .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
    AS OF 209 PM EST SUNDAY...INALLY SOME CONSENSUS IN ALL MAJOR
    MODELS WITH THE 12Z GFS BEING THE LATECOMER TO THE PARTY FOR THIS
    MID WEEK...HOLIDAY TRAVEL STORM.

    THE SHORT TERM DISCUSSION TOUCHES UPON ALOT OF THE EVOLVING SYSTEM
    BUT THE CURRENT WED FCST IS BASED ON A GFS/ECMWF/NAM TRACK OF
    NYC-ORH-CON. CNDN GEM IS MORE HUDSON/CHAMPLAIN VLY BUT ERRING TO A
    SLIGHTLY COLDER...MORE PROBLEMATIC SOLUTION.

    IN GENERAL...A SNOW/MIXED START WITH GRADUAL CHANGEOVER TO
    MIXED/RAIN IN VT AND CHMPL VLY NY WITH SOME POSSIBLE ACCUMULATING
    SNOW AND A FLASH FREEZE MARCHING FROM WEST TO EAST AFT SFC LOW
    PASSAGE WED EVE/WED NGT. ADRNDKS/ST LWRNC VLY IN THE POTENTIAL
    SWEET-SPOT FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL ALONG WITH SOME MIXING.

    QPF AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE FA...LIGHTER SIDE ACRS
    ST LWRNC VLY WHERE IT WILL STAY COLDEST. WPC WINTER WX GRAPHIC
    PLACES 6-12 INCHES IN ADRNDKS/ST LWRNC
    VLY AND QUITE POSSIBLE. LLVL
    NNE JET ACRS ST LWRNV VLY WILL ADD PROBLEMS WITH CONSIDERABLE
    BLOWING SNOW.

    from BTV NWS Area Forecast. Full discussion here
    http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BTV&product=AFD&form at=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

    http://www.weather.gov/btv/
    Last edited by chamonix; 24 November 2013, 05:37 PM.

  • #2
    Here's hoping it heads over the green mtns and nh!

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    • #3
      Josh Fox at the Single Chair weather blog is excited about the prospects for this winter.

      Psyched for some/any stormage.

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      • #4
        here is the latest Storm Snow forecast for this storm, looks like 6-8 inches at JP
        Click image for larger version

Name:	Storm Snow Forecast Nov 26-28.JPG
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        link here
        http://www.erh.noaa.gov/btv/html/Sto...otalSnow.shtml

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        • #5
          If you click on the link again, they are now showing 8-10 inches total accumulation for Jay Peak at the Northern spine of the Greens

          http://www.erh.noaa.gov/btv/html/Sto...otalSnow.shtml

          Unfortunately, in the valley here it rained much of the day..turning back to snow now, at 4:30 pm

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