Potential Storm for the East Wed...

[chamonix]

Highlighting in red is mine..At least it will help the non-existent base


.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 209 PM EST SUNDAY...INALLY SOME CONSENSUS IN ALL MAJOR
MODELS WITH THE 12Z GFS BEING THE LATECOMER TO THE PARTY FOR THIS
MID WEEK...HOLIDAY TRAVEL STORM.

THE SHORT TERM DISCUSSION TOUCHES UPON ALOT OF THE EVOLVING SYSTEM
BUT THE CURRENT WED FCST IS BASED ON A GFS/ECMWF/NAM TRACK OF
NYC-ORH-CON. CNDN GEM IS MORE HUDSON/CHAMPLAIN VLY BUT ERRING TO A
SLIGHTLY COLDER...MORE PROBLEMATIC SOLUTION.

IN GENERAL...A SNOW/MIXED START WITH GRADUAL CHANGEOVER TO
MIXED/RAIN IN VT AND CHMPL VLY NY WITH SOME POSSIBLE ACCUMULATING
SNOW AND A FLASH FREEZE MARCHING FROM WEST TO EAST AFT SFC LOW
PASSAGE WED EVE/WED NGT. ADRNDKS/ST LWRNC VLY IN THE POTENTIAL
SWEET-SPOT FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL ALONG WITH SOME MIXING.

QPF AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE FA...LIGHTER SIDE ACRS
ST LWRNC VLY WHERE IT WILL STAY COLDEST. WPC WINTER WX GRAPHIC
PLACES 6-12 INCHES IN ADRNDKS/ST LWRNC VLY AND QUITE POSSIBLE. LLVL
NNE JET ACRS ST LWRNV VLY WILL ADD PROBLEMS WITH CONSIDERABLE
BLOWING SNOW.

from BTV NWS Area Forecast. Full discussion here
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BTV&product=AFD&form at=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

http://www.weather.gov/btv/

[gofor311]

Here's hoping it heads over the green mtns and nh!

[Bob T]

Josh Fox at the Single Chair weather blog is excited about the prospects for this winter.

Psyched for some/any stormage.

[chamonix]

here is the latest Storm Snow forecast for this storm, looks like 6-8 inches at JP


link here
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/btv/html/Sto...otalSnow.shtml

[chamonix]

If you click on the link again, they are now showing 8-10 inches total accumulation for Jay Peak at the Northern spine of the Greens

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/btv/html/Sto...otalSnow.shtml

Unfortunately, in the valley here it rained much of the day..turning back to snow now, at 4:30 pm